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-412750-170815DAWLADA GOBOLEEDKA WAQOOYI-BARI SOMALIYA WASAARADDA QORSHAYNTA HORUMARINTA IYO XIDHIIDHKA CAALAMIGA AH 00DAWLADA GOBOLEEDKA WAQOOYI-BARI SOMALIYA WASAARADDA QORSHAYNTA HORUMARINTA IYO XIDHIIDHKA CAALAMIGA AH 3759200-187960NORTHEASTERN STATE OF SOMALIA MINISTRY OF PLANNING, DEVELOPMENT AND INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION 00NORTHEASTERN STATE OF SOMALIA MINISTRY OF PLANNING, DEVELOPMENT AND INTERNATIONAL COORDINATION 2546350-1708150 -253641329510 00 NORTHEASTERN STATE OF SOMALIA (WOQOOYI BARI) CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) REPORT. Reporting: Ministry of Planning, Development and International Cooperation (MoPDIC)Department: Statistics DepartmentIndicator: All Items Consumer Price Index (CPI)Geographical Coverage: Las Anod, Buuhoodle, Taleh, and ErigavoReference Period: 2026Prepared by: Statistics Department 1. Executive Summary This report presents a comparative analysis of the All-Items Consumer Price Index (CPI) across four locations in Northeastern State of Somalia: Las Anod, Buuhoodle, Taleh, and Erigavo. The analysis focuses on differences in the reported CPI index levels and their implications for understanding household living costs and local economic conditions. The reported CPI values show considerable variation across the four locations. Las Anod recorded the highest index at 118.7, followed by Buuhoodle at 111.6, Taleh at 109.9, and Erigavo at 96.3. The difference between the highest and lowest reported index values is 22.4 index points. Las Anod's index is approximately 23.3% higher than Erigavo's index, indicating a substantial difference in the measured index levels between the two locations. These findings provide a useful basis for further investigation of geographical differences in consumer prices. However, the figures alone do not establish the causes of these differences or demonstrate which location experienced the highest inflation during a particular period. 2. Comparative CPI Results Rank Location All Items CPI Share of Sum of Four Indices 1 Las Anod 118.7 27.6% 2 Buuhoodle 111.6 25.9% 3 Taleh 109.9 25.5% 4 Erigavo 96.3 22.4% Total 436.5 100.0% Note: The percentage column represents each location's share of the sum of the four reported index values. It is not a measure of inflation, household expenditure, or the proportion of the population affected by price increases. 3. Detailed Analytical Findings 3.1 Las Anod: Highest Reported CPI Index Las Anod recorded the highest All Items CPI index at 118.7. This places it 7.1 index points above Buuhoodle and 22.4 points above Erigavo. The result indicates that Las Anod has the highest reported index level among the four locations under the measurement represented by these figures. This finding warrants closer examination of prices for essential food items, housing, transport, utilities, and other household consumption categories. Potential explanations for differences in market prices could include transportation costs, supply-chain conditions, market demand, availability of goods, and local market structures. However, additional price and market data are required to determine whether these factors explain the observed difference. 3.2 Buuhoodle: Second-Highest Index Buuhoodle recorded a CPI index of 111.6, ranking second among the four locations. Its index is 7.1 points below Las Anod and 15.3 points above Erigavo. This position indicates that Buuhoodle's reported index level is relatively close to Taleh's, with a difference of only 1.7 points. Continued price monitoring would help establish whether this relationship remains stable across reporting periods or changes as market conditions evolve. 3.3 Taleh: Intermediate Index Level Taleh recorded an index of 109.9, placing it third in the comparison. The difference between Taleh and Buuhoodle is relatively small, at 1.7 index points, while the difference between Taleh and Erigavo is 13.6 points. This suggests that Taleh occupies an intermediate position within the current comparison. Monthly analysis would be useful for identifying changes in the relative positions of the four locations and determining whether price movements are concentrated in particular commodity groups. 3.4 Erigavo: Lowest Reported CPI Index Erigavo recorded the lowest index value at 96.3. Its index is 22.4 points below Las Anod, 15.3 points below Buuhoodle, and 13.6 points below Taleh. This indicates a lower reported CPI index level relative to the other locations. It should not automatically be interpreted as proof that Erigavo has the lowest absolute cost of living or that prices there have declined. Such conclusions depend on the CPI base period, index construction, consumption weights, and changes over time. 4. Quantitative Comparison The following table summarizes the index-point differences between locations. Comparison Difference in Index Points Las Anod – Buuhoodle 7.1 Las Anod – Taleh 8.8 Las Anod – Erigavo 22.4 Buuhoodle – Taleh 1.7 Buuhoodle – Erigavo 15.3 Taleh – Erigavo 13.6 The largest difference is between Las Anod and Erigavo, while the smallest is between Buuhoodle and Taleh. This suggests that the most pronounced variation in the reported index levels occurs between Las Anod and Erigavo. Where prices moved, by category Food fell 7.3% in Ceerigaabo but rose 19.1% in Las Anod; non-food goods drove Buuhoodle's rise. Index shown for September (May = 100), equal-weighted within each COICOP division; items per division are in brackets. COICOP division Ceerigaabo Taleex Las Anod Buuhoodle 01 Food & non-alcoholic beverages 92.7 (58) 108.2 (65) 119.1 (68) 111.8 (65) 03 Clothing & footwear 91.4 (80) 111.7 (83) 119.1 (76) 87.8 (82) 04 Housing, water & energy 101.9 (21) 111.3 (21) 119.9 (20) 94.3 (20) 05 Furnishings & household goods 100.1 (69) 108.1 (68) 122.1 (63) 107.8 (60) 06 Health 101.9 (17) 104.6 (17) 133.9 (17) 105.2 (17) 07 Transport 102.2 (20) 120.0 (19) 123.0 (19) 108.4 (19) 10 Education 100.0 (5) 104.1 (5) 100.0 (5) 100.0 (5) All items 96.3 109.9 118.7 111.6 Las Anod's health index (105.4) comes mostly from medicines recorded at half their May price (for example 1.00 to 1.3 USD); verify these before relying on it. Alcohol and tobacco (division 02) is left out: only Taleex has a price (cigarettes), recorded from July. Staple food prices Cooking oil fell in Ceerigaabo (1.75 to 1.00 USD per litre) and fresh cow milk rose in all four towns (+15% in Taleex to +90% in Ceerigaabo). Prices in USD, May and September. Item (unit) Ceerigaabo Taleex Buuhoodle Las Anod Sugar white (1 kg) 0.55 → 0.75 0.65 → 1.00 0.6 → 0.9 0.64 → 1.1 Rice, imported (1 kg) 0.4→ 0.52 0.55 → 0.88 0.45 → 0.60 0.52 → 0.73 Wheat grain (750 g tin) 0.75 → 1.00 0.75 → 0.72 0.75 → 0.55 0.75 → 1.20 Sorghum (750 g tin) 0.60 → 0.50 0.60 → 0.57 0.60 → 1.20 0.60 → 0.70 Maize (750 g tin) 0.50 → 1.00 0.50 → 0.55 0.50 → 0.70 0.50 → 0.90 Cooking oil (1 litre) 1.75 → 1.00 1.75 → 1.67 1.75 → 1.70 1.75 → 1.80 Cow milk, fresh (1 litre) 1.00 → 1.90 1.00 → 1.15 1.00 → 1.40 1.00 → 1.55 Camel milk, fresh (1 litre) 1.25 → 1.00 1.25 → 1.58 1.25 → 1.40 1.25 → 1.55 Eggs (1 piece) 0.25 → 0.30 0.25 → 0.35 0.25 → 0.30 0.25 → 0.30 Black tea, bulk (1 kg) 2.00 → 2.00 2.00 → 2.60 2.00 → 2.30 2.00 → 2.40 Every town starts from the same May price for each item, which is the baseline problem explained below. Food price index by town Northeastern CPI sheets for Ceerigaabo, Taleex, Buuhoodle and Las Anod · May–Sept 2026 · Jevons index, May = 100 Las Anod has the highest food inflation of the four towns (+19.1% since May), although its all-items index is flat (99.6) because clothing, health and housing prices fell. The four-town all-items average rose from 100 to 106.1. Most of the movement came after June: the average gained 3.5% in July and 2.2% in August, then 0.3% in September. Northern Eastern state CPI sheets, four towns · May Sept 2026 · Jevons index change, large jumps excluded Food and all-items prices diverge most in Las Anod (+19.1% against −0.4%) and Buuhoodle (+11.8% against +18.7%), so read both measures together. Figure 1: All Items Consumer Price Index (CPI) by Location in Woqooyi Bari Figure 1 illustrates the distribution of the All Items Consumer Price Index across four locations in Woqooyi Bari. Las Anod recorded the highest CPI index at 118.7, followed by Buuhoodle at 111.6 and Taleh at 109.9, while Erigavo recorded the lowest index at 96.3. The difference between the highest and lowest values was 22.4 index points, indicating variation in the reported CPI levels across the locations. Overall, the figure highlights geographical differences in the CPI index, although further analysis of comparable data over time is required to establish inflation trends. Interpreting the Price Data The May–September price series contains substantial data-quality concerns, particularly in the May and June observations. The unusually high level of identical prices across locations and the persistence of unchanged values between May and July suggest that the early observations may have been carried forward from a common template rather than independently recorded market prices. Consequently, the July–September period provides a more informative basis for preliminary analysis of price movements, although it also requires validation. Identical May and June prices. Approximately 83% of the items had identical reported prices across all four locations in May and June. From July onward, only around 1–2% of items showed this pattern. Furthermore, approximately 99% of item prices remained unchanged between the third week of May and the first week of July. These patterns raise concerns about the independence and reliability of the earlier observations. July–September price movements. When July is rebased to 100, the September indices are 98.1 for Ceerigaabo, 104.7 for Taleex, 107.4 for Buuhoodle, and 111.3 for Las Anod. These preliminary results indicate a decline in the measured price index for Ceerigaabo and increases in the other three locations. For food items alone, the corresponding indices are 94.2, 103.6, 104.7, and 108.2, respectively. These figures represent changes in the constructed indices, not official inflation rates. Their interpretation depends on the validity and comparability of the underlying observations. Changes in Ceerigaabo's market coverage. The price observations for Ceerigaabo were collected from Shacabka Market in May and June, while Daalo Market was used from July onward. This change in market coverage introduces a comparability problem. Therefore, the observed decline may partly reflect differences between the two markets rather than changes in prices over time. The July–September trend should also be interpreted cautiously until market coverage is standardized. Extreme price changes and potential recording errors. A total of 52 out of 1,150 town–item price series recorded movements exceeding a factor of two: Taleex (7), Ceerigaabo (13), Buuhoodle (16), and Las Anod (16). Examples include olive oil in Taleex declining from USD 7.00 to USD 0.80 per litre and private car prices falling from USD 4,000 to USD 400. Such changes may reflect unit inconsistencies, transcription errors, differences in product specifications, or genuine market changes. They should be investigated individually before exclusion. The sensitivity analysis indicates that including these observations changes the town indices by as much as four index points. The resulting alternative values are 94.2 for Ceerigaabo, 105.6 for Taleex, 121.4 for Buuhoodle, and 100.5 for Las Anod. These results demonstrate that a relatively small number of extreme observations can materially influence the estimates. Round-number price movements. Several low-priced items exhibit exact percentage changes, such as an increase from USD 1.00 to USD 2.00 or a decrease by half. These patterns may reflect genuine price changes, rounding practices, or data-entry decisions. Additional verification is necessary before attributing them to actual market inflation. Mi …